What is Bid Depth Decay and why does it matter?

Bid Depth Decay measures the percentage reduction in cumulative buy orders within a 5% price range. A decay of 19.8% indicates weakening market support and potential downward pressure. Values above 15% are considered high risk.

What does a dormant address awakening mean?

A dormant address is one that has not transacted for over 365 days. When such addresses become active and transfer funds to exchanges, it often signals potential selling pressure. Currently, 0 dormant addresses have shown activity, with a combined value of $0.

How is the Quant Score calculated?

The Quant Score is a composite metric ranging from 0 to 2.0, combining orderbook structure, exchange netflow, dormant address activity, and market microstructure signals. The current score of 0.45/2.0 indicates low risk. Scores above 1.0 suggest elevated market manipulation risk.

What are token unlocks and why are they tracked?

Token unlocks refer to the release of previously locked tokens to team members, investors, or the community. Large unlocks can create sell pressure and price volatility. This report tracks 10 upcoming unlock events with a total value of $125,589,411,773 over the next 30 days.

How often is this report updated?

This report is generated automatically every 8 hours (3 times daily) at 06:00, 14:00, and 22:00 EST to align with major market sessions. The next update is scheduled in approximately 8 hours.

Crypto Risk Radar - Full Market Report

Name: Crypto Risk Radar - Market Report 2026-04-14
Creator: Crypto Risk Radar
Published: 2026-04-14T08:24:16

⚡ Quick Risk Summary (Last 8h)

🔴 Bid Depth Decay: 19.8% – high support erosion
🟢 Dormant Addresses: 0 addresses moved $0 to exchanges
🔴 Token Unlocks: 10 events upcoming, total value $125,589,411,773
🟠 Security Threats: 2 contracts flagged in 24h

Quant Score: 0.45/2.0 | Low Risk | Full details below ↓

1. Market Overview

BTC
Price: $74,507.00
24h: +4.99%
8h: +1.20%
Volume: $28.5B

ETH
Price: $2,368.00
24h: +7.97%
Volume: $12.3B

Fear & Greed
Index: 45
Sentiment: Fear
Trend: Stable

2. Orderbook Structure

Bid Depth Decay: 19.8% (Current: 1250.5 BTC, 8h ago: 1560.0 BTC)

Historical context: This decay rate is at the 65th percentile of the past 30 days, indicating moderate support removal.

Ask Uniformity: 0.142

Reference: Values below 0.1 may indicate algorithmic order placement; current value is within normal range.

Spread: 12 bps

Bid Depth Levels

Price Level	Amount (BTC)	Cumulative (BTC)
$73,400	45.2	45.2
$73,300	38.5	83.7
$73,200	52.1	135.8
$73,100	41.8	177.6
$73,000	67.3	244.9

3. Exchange Netflow

24h: -1,250 BTC | 7d: -8,750 BTC | 30d: -28,400 BTC

Green bars = outflow (accumulation), Red bars = inflow (potential selling pressure)

7-Day Exchange Netflow History

Date	Netflow (BTC)	Direction	Visual
2026-04-13	-1,250	Outflow	█████
2026-04-12	-2,100	Outflow	█████████
2026-04-11	+850	Inflow	███
2026-04-10	-1,800	Outflow	███████
2026-04-09	-950	Outflow	████
2026-04-08	+1,200	Inflow	█████
2026-04-07	-4,650	Outflow	████████████████████

4. Dormant Address Activity

No dormant address activity detected in the last 8 hours.

Real-time monitoring via Etherscan API. Addresses are flagged when they transfer >10 ETH to exchanges after >365 days of inactivity.

Check back next cycle. Historical dormant address events will be archived here when detected.

5. Token Unlock Schedule

Total Unlocks: 10 events | Total Value: $125,589,411,773

Token Unlocks (Next 7 Days)

Token	Date	Amount	Value (USD)	% of Supply	Category	Risk
XRP (XRP)	2026-04-21	38,580,155,919	$52,854,813,609	38.59%	Team/Investor	High
WBT (WhiteBIT Coin)	2026-04-21	106,249,825	$5,812,927,926	33.24%	Team/Investor	High
HYPE (Hyperliquid)	2026-04-21	723,888,713	$32,473,647,665	75.23%	Team/Investor	High
LINK (Chainlink)	2026-04-21	272,900,030	$2,518,867,273	27.29%	Team/Investor	High
XLM (Stellar)	2026-04-21	16,900,064,045	$2,624,613,746	33.80%	Team/Investor	High
M (MemeCore)	2026-04-21	3,600,000,000	$10,331,999,999	67.20%	Team/Investor	High
RAIN (Rain)	2026-04-21	671,547,053,437	$5,430,122,759	58.40%	Team/Investor	High
SUI (Sui)	2026-04-21	6,046,611,068	$5,747,031,723	60.47%	Team/Investor	High
TON (Toncoin)	2026-04-21	2,680,308,428	$3,832,841,051	51.92%	Team/Investor	High
CRO (Cronos)	2026-04-21	56,199,949,249	$3,962,546,022	57.03%	Team/Investor	High

6. High Risk Token Watchlist

⚠️ 示例数据 (Sample Data): 本模块当前使用示例代币数据用于演示。生产环境将接入DEX实时数据。
This module currently uses sample token data for demonstration. Production will use real-time DEX data.

Tokens Flagged: 5 | Criteria: Liquidity <$50k, Owner >20%, Risk Score >70

High Risk Token Watchlist

Token	Price	Liquidity	Holders	Owner %	Risk Score
eth_0x8d (DOT / ETH 0.3%)	$0.000053	$140,028	7208	0%	60/100
eth_0x17 (RAVE / USDT 0.3%)	$10.683653	$327,626,540	5416	0%	55/100
eth_0xc0 (WETH / USDT 0.01%)	$2369.253170	$135,906	2652	0%	35/100
eth_0xa0 (USDC / WETH 0.01%)	$0.999917	$430,016	4204	0%	35/100
eth_0x22 (WBTC / WETH 0.01%)	$74375.411069	$260,138	2260	0%	35/100

7. Contract Security Scanner

⚠️ 示例数据 (Sample Data): 本模块当前使用示例合约数据用于演示。生产环境将接入GoPlus Security API。
This module currently uses sample contract data for demonstration. Production will use GoPlus Security API.

Threats Detected: 2 | Est. Loss Prevention: $2,300,000

Contract Security Alerts (24h)

Token	Contract	Discovered	Risk Features	Status
USDT	0xdAC17F958D2ee523a2...	2026-04-14	Can blacklist addresses, Owner can mint tokens, External calls detected, Transfers can be paused	Risk Score: 90/100
WBTC	0x2260FAC5E5542a773A...	2026-04-14	Owner can mint tokens, Transfers can be paused	Risk Score: 45/100

8. On-Chain Pattern Observations

Data Source: Real-time monitoring (Nitter API - upgrade available)

Patterns Detected: 3

Social Signal Patterns

KOL	Token	Risk Score	Sentiment	Key Factors	Details
@elonmusk (180M)	DOGE	45/100	Bullish	High follower count, Vague price prediction	View
@CryptoAnalyst (450K)	PEPE	85/100	Bullish	Excessive hype (100x claim), Urgency tactics	View
@WhaleWatcher (120K)	SHIB	25/100	Neutral	Observation-based claim	View

Note: Real-time monitoring active. Sample patterns shown for demonstration.

These patterns document temporal correlations between social media mentions and market activity. Correlation does not imply causation. Always cross-check with other indicators.

9. Self-Protection Guide

Purpose: Steps to independently verify information before making decisions.

Verification Checklist

Before investing in any token:

☐ Verify contract on Etherscan/BSCScan
☐ Check liquidity lock status
☐ Review top 10 holder distribution
☐ Check for large transactions before promotional content
☐ Wait 24h after promotion before considering entry
☐ Use honeypot detection tools
☐ Set stop-losses before entering
☐ Never invest more than you can afford to lose

Red Flags

Token has no locked liquidity
Single wallet holds >20% of supply
Contract is not verified
Large buys from wallets created within 7 days
Immediate transfers to exchanges after price rise

10. Market Anomaly Index

Current Score: +0.45/2.0 | Grade: Positive | Consistency: 67%

7-Day Trend: +0.25 → +0.30 → +0.35 → +0.40 → +0.42 → +0.38 → +0.45

Trend direction: Increasing anomaly

This index is calculated from bid depth decay, dormant address activity, exchange netflow, and post-promotion price patterns. Higher scores indicate higher statistical anomaly compared to normal market behavior. Based on 12-month historical data.

Important Disclaimers

Data Limitations

This report presents publicly available on-chain data and social media posts
Correlation does not imply causation
Patterns may occur due to normal market activity
Always verify data independently before making decisions

Not Financial Advice

This report is for educational purposes only
It does not constitute investment advice
The researchers do not hold positions in mentioned tokens
Past patterns do not predict future results

Methodology Transparency

All data sources are public APIs (Etherscan, Binance, etc.)
Analysis algorithms are documented in METHODOLOGY.md
Historical comparisons are based on observed patterns

About This Report

Generation: This report is generated automatically every 8 hours (3 times daily) to align with major market sessions: 06:00 / 14:00 / 22:00 EST (US market hours).

Transparency: All raw data, analysis scripts, and historical reports are available on GitHub.

Methodology: Detailed formulas and data sources are documented in METHODOLOGY.md.

Verification: All on-chain data can be independently verified via Etherscan/BSCScan using the provided transaction links.

Report Archive

View previous reports to track market changes over time:

Reports are archived after each 8-hour cycle. Use the GitHub link above to browse all historical data.

📖 Glossary of Terms

Bid Depth Decay: Percentage reduction in cumulative bid liquidity within 5% price interval. Higher decay indicates weakening market support.
Ask Uniformity: Standard deviation of ask sizes divided by mean. Values below 0.1 suggest algorithmic order placement.
Exchange Netflow: Net BTC transferred to/from exchanges. Positive = inflow (sell pressure), Negative = outflow (accumulation).
Dormant Address: Address inactive for >365 days. Sudden activity often precedes large sell orders.
Market Anomaly Index: Composite score (0-2.0) combining orderbook, netflow, dormant, and social signals. >1.0 indicates elevated risk.
Historical Similarity: Pattern match to past pump-and-dump events. Higher % = more similar to historical manipulation patterns.